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TheGlobesandCritics Choice Awardshave been handed out, and theguildsand theBritshave made their favorites known.

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Oscar-watching is an inexact science.

But voters liked the movie, so they liked her in it.

(One of them was Best Picture; sixth-best is still good!)

Arty filmmakers with a strong personal brand should never count themselves out of the race.

If youre not predicting anything unexpected, youre predicting wrong.

With all that in mind, lets get to the predictions.

I thinkBeale Streethas slightly more passion behind it, so thats my pick.

Mortensen can probably rest easy with his entire pizza.

; Rosamund Pike,A Private War

Its funny how quickly narratives can change.

(Thus making Blunt the Golden Globe/Critics Choice/SAG nominee who hits the wall.)

Then youve got four guys competing for three spots.

After that, its anyones guess.

Those voters both went with Robbie, but she carries the baggage of repping a not-so-great movie.

In the end, I predict King will find enough No.

1 votes to make it in here, joined by Foy, the sole survivor of theFirst Manflameout.

Spring hitA Quiet Placeand A24 effortsEighth GradeandFirst Reformedround out the field.